Mismatch repair deficiency results from inactivation of DNA repair proteins such as MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, or PMS2. Loss of mismatch repair function leads to insertion-deletion mutations at short tandem repeats (microsatellite instability), increasing tumor mutational load and neoantigen production: thereby, sensitizing tumors to PD-1 blockade.3 Tumor mutational burden, measured as the number of somatic mutations per megabase (mut/Mb), is another proxy for neoantigen burden; the FDA’s tissue-agnostic TMB-H threshold (≥10 mut/Mb) was derived from pembrolizumab efficacy data across multiple tumor types.2,4
The prevalence of MSI-H/dMMR in prostate cancer is low but clinically meaningful. In a large institutional cohort analyzed with targeted sequencing, approximately 3.1% of evaluable tumors were MSI-H/dMMR, and roughly 22% of those cases carried pathogenic germline Lynch-syndrome–associated variants, highlighting hereditary implications.5 A larger MSK-IMPACT analysis across thousands of tumors found 2.8% were MSI-H/dMMR and 1.5% were TMB-H but microsatellite stable (MSS); this also showed that MSI-H/dMMR tumors tended to present with higher grade and de novo metastatic disease.3 While overall dMMR is uncommon, it is enriched in very high-grade disease: focused primary-tumor studies have shown MMR (e.g., MSH2) protein loss is most frequent among Gleason pattern 5 tumors compared with lower-grade tumors.6
TMB-H without concurrent MSI-H is rare in prostate cancer (approximately 1–2% in large genomic series) and often overlaps with MSI-H when present.3 Because MSI-H/dMMR tumors typically have higher indel burden, neoantigen load, and TMB than MSS tumors, MSI-H/dMMR status has emerged as a more consistent predictor of checkpoint-inhibitor sensitivity in this disease.3
Although these biomarker-defined subgroups are small, clinical responses to PD-1 blockade can be meaningful and durable. In the MSK cohort, 15 of 23 (65%) MSI-H/dMMR patients treated with immune checkpoint blockade achieved a ≥50% decline in PSA (PSA₅₀), while 9 of 20 (45%) had RECIST partial or complete responses; by contrast, among TMB-H/MSS patients the PSA₅₀ rate was 3 of 6 (50%) and no RECIST responses were observed.3 In the multi-institutional JAMA Oncology case series, 6 of 11 (54.5%) MSI-H/dMMR mCRPC patients receiving anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy achieved a >50% PSA decline, and 5 of those responders (5 of 11 total; 45.5%) remained on therapy at last follow-up (up to ~89 weeks), indicating durability.5 In a circulating-tumor-DNA–identified series, 4 of 9 (44%) patients achieved PSA₅₀, and three patients had >99% PSA declines; median time on pembrolizumab in that cohort was approximately 9.9 months.7 Taken together, these datasets show consistent, sometimes deep and durable, responses in the MSI-H/dMMR subset and more variable benefit in TMB-H/MSS disease.3,5,7
Regulatory guidance conforms with these observations: in May 2017, the FDA granted the first tissue-agnostic approval to pembrolizumab for unresectable or metastatic MSI-H/dMMR solid tumors, and in June 2020, the agency granted a second tissue-agnostic accelerated approval for pembrolizumab in TMB-H (≥10 mut/Mb) solid tumors.1,2 KEYNOTE-158 performed a prospective biomarker study that supported the link between higher tissue TMB and pembrolizumab activity across multiple tumor types, which informed the TMB-H indication.4
In summary, MSI-H/dMMR and TMB-H define a small but therapeutically important subset of prostate cancers. MSI-H/dMMR in particular predicts a high likelihood of meaningful and sometimes durable responses to PD-1 blockade, whereas TMB-H without MSI-H is rarer and confers more variable benefit. Detection of MSI-H/dMMR should also prompt consideration of germline evaluation for Lynch syndrome and genetic counseling. These biomarkers, therefore, enable precision immunotherapy in a disease that is otherwise relatively resistant to checkpoint blockade. Ongoing clinical trials exploring immunotherapy in MMRd/MSI-H and high-TMB prostate cancer are described below:
Ongoing clinical trials for prostate cancer patients with MSI-H/dMMR or TMB-H tumors:
- CHOMP – Pembrolizumab for dMMR or CDK12 biallelic inactivation with mCRPC (NCT04104893)
- Nivolumab for dMMR, MSI-H, TMB-H biochemically-recurrent prostate cancer (NCT04019964)
- PERSEUS1 – Pembrolizumab for dMMR, MSI-H, or TMB-H with mCRPC (NCT03506997)
- Impact of DNA repair alterations, including dMMR on sensitivity to radium-223 for patients with bone mCRPC (NCT04489719)
References:
- U.S. Food and Drug Administration. FDA grants accelerated approval to pembrolizumab for first tissue/site-agnostic indication (MSI-H/dMMR solid tumors). May 23, 2017.
- U.S. Food and Drug Administration. FDA approves pembrolizumab for adults and children with TMB-H solid tumors (≥10 mut/Mb). June 16, 2020.
- Lenis AT, Ravichandran V, Brown S, et al. Microsatellite instability, tumor mutational burden, and response to immune checkpoint blockade in patients with prostate cancer. Clin Cancer Res. 2024;30(17):3894–3903.
- Marabelle A, Fakih M, Lopez J, et al. Association of tumour mutational burden with outcomes in patients with advanced solid tumours treated with pembrolizumab (KEYNOTE-158). Lancet Oncol. 2020;21(10):1353–1365.
- Abida W, Cheng ML, Armenia J, et al. Analysis of the prevalence and clinical outcomes of mismatch repair deficiency in metastatic prostate cancer. JAMA Oncol. 2019;5(4):471–478.
- Guedes LB, Antonarakis ES, Schweizer MT, et al. MSH2 loss in primary prostate cancer. Clin Cancer Res. 2017;23(22):6863–6874.
- Barata P, Agarwal N, Nussenzveig R, et al. Clinical activity of pembrolizumab in metastatic prostate cancer with microsatellite instability high (MSI-H) detected by circulating tumor DNA. J Immunother Cancer. 2020;8(2):e001065.